Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.616221 0.706114 0.803751 0.917571 1.046508 1.187932 1.354705
2025-01-26 0.491823 0.616242 0.762889 0.948045 1.175127 1.444061 1.786229
2025-02-02 0.407145 0.553872 0.740255 0.993268 1.326550 1.749212 2.324366
2025-02-09 0.329447 0.484192 0.695002 1.001083 1.431666 2.012916 2.853589
2025-02-16 0.267796 0.423207 0.649222 0.998502 1.520510 2.266560 3.407000
2025-02-23 0.221414 0.374538 0.611226 0.998774 1.611142 2.533205 4.015436
2025-03-02 0.184432 0.332664 0.575292 0.994601 1.692280 2.794545 4.650129
2025-03-09 0.158744 0.304018 0.554806 1.010395 1.805285 3.117539 5.421281
2025-03-16 0.134061 0.272039 0.522729 1.000395 1.872261 3.372632 6.112741
2025-03-23 0.118638 0.254006 0.511850 1.025159 2.001521 3.746395 7.049095
2025-03-30 0.101594 0.229331 0.484195 1.013790 2.062355 4.006076 7.814348
2025-04-06 0.089700 0.212822 0.469402 1.024326 2.164759 4.351531 8.774493
2025-04-13 0.076063 0.190098 0.438740 0.999243 2.196240 4.572567 9.537846
2025-04-20 0.069646 0.182483 0.438802 1.038603 2.364447 5.079534 10.919472
2025-04-27 0.064930 0.177976 0.444970 1.092252 2.570342 5.686785 12.574523
2025-05-04 0.058011 0.166542 0.433287 1.103692 2.685909 6.121677 13.925784
2025-05-11 0.051327 0.154272 0.417447 1.102757 2.773301 6.506822 15.216271
2025-05-18 0.045679 0.143577 0.403592 1.104301 2.866409 6.914908 16.603095
2025-05-25 0.040541 0.133172 0.388616 1.100527 2.946039 7.301633 17.985724
2025-06-01 0.036940 0.126511 0.382412 1.118448 3.081508 7.832059 19.756090
2025-06-08 0.032716 0.116955 0.366511 1.107793 3.142863 8.194441 21.172638
2025-06-15 0.030276 0.112568 0.364554 1.135298 3.307437 8.824462 23.298882
2025-06-22 0.026892 0.104228 0.349444 1.122931 3.363480 9.192382 24.823007